USA vs Paraguay Betting Tips & Predictions – Draw is a Value Bet at the World Cup 2026
The USA takes on Paraguay in an international friendly following a disappointing run of matches, highlighted by defensive struggles and recent defeats against top sides. Paraguay, meanwhile, boasts a solid defensive record and qualified for World Cup 2026 after a strong showing in the South American qualifiers. While the USA leads the historical head-to-head, both recent form and stats suggest a scoring draw is a likely outcome, especially in light of Paraguay's strong defense and USA's inconsistent performances.
- Paraguay qualified with just four losses in 18 matches
- We are backing them to hold co-hosts USA to a draw
- Check our full preview for USA vs Paraguay below
USA failed to impress in their international friendlies this year and I don’t view them as favorites against Paraguay who lost just four games in the South American qualifiers. A scoring draw is worth backing in California.
- Key Stats
- USA Lead Head-to-Head
- Star and Stipes Failed to Impress in 2026 Friendlies
- Paraguay Relying on Defense
- Team News & Predicted Lineups
Key Stats
- USA are winless in 7 of their last 13 matches.
- USA have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- Paraguay are unbeaten in 20 of their last 24 matches.
- Paraguay have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches.
USA Lead Head-to-Head
The United States hold a 5-2 advantage against Paraguay in terms of victories, 2 clashes ending without a winner.
Stars and Stipes Failed to Impress in 2026 Friendlies
USA started 2026 with a horrible defensive performance and a 5-2 home loss against Belgium where they gained an early lead through Weston McKennie but then conceded five unanswered goals.
A couple of days later, they were also beaten by Portugal 2-0, while this losing streak ended earlier this month with a 3-2 thriller win against Senegal thanks to Christian Pulisic who registered one goal and one assist.
The Stars and Stripes were beaten in their final test game before the World Cup 2026 by Germany 2-1, ending the match with 0.99-1.54 expected goals, 54% possession and 16-12 shots. Antonee Robinson was their sole scorer in the first half.
Paraguay Relying on Defense
Strong defending was the main reason why Paraguay qualified for the World Cup 2026 from the South American bracket, ending as 6th with seven wins, seven draws and four losses, conceding just 10 goals.
Their results in late March friendlies were mixed, starting with a narrow 1-0 win over Greece, followed by a 2-1 defeat against Morocco.
Paraguay opted for just one test match in June and they delivered against Nicaragua, winning the encounter 4-0 in front of the home crowd in Asuncion, allowing just 28% possession and zero shots to the opposition.
Team News & Predicted Lineups
USA (4-2-3-1) Matt Turner; Sergino Dest, Chris Richards, Tim Ream, Antonee Robinson; Tyler Adams, Weston McKennie; Timothy Weah, Giovanni Reyna, Christian Pulisic; Folarin Balogun
Weston McKennie, Christian Pulisic and Folarin Balogun are expected to make the difference for the Star and Stripes in this tournament.
Weston McKennie, Christian Pulisic and Folarin Balogun are expected to make the difference for the Star and Stripes in this tournament.
Pulisic has the most appearances for the national team on this roster (86) and is also the top scorer (33 goals), but his recent form hasn't been great after recovering from an ankle injury. Balogun netted 13 goals for Monaco in Ligue 1 this season.
Paraguay (4-2-3-1) Carlos Coronel; Juan Jose Caceres, Gustavo Gomez, Omar Alderete, Diego Leon; Andres Cubas, Damian Bobadilla; Miguel Almiron, Diego Gomez, Julio Enciso; Antonio Sanabria
Paraguay's main star player is Miguel Almiron who made a move from Newcastle to Atlanta last season. He is at 76 appearances and 10 goals for the national team. The South American side have no reported injuries ahead of the first round.
Paraguay's main star player is Miguel Almiron who made a move from Newcastle to Atlanta last season. He is at 76 appearances and 10 goals for the national team. The South American side have no reported injuries ahead of the first round.
Verdict
Almost 40% of Paraguay’s World Cup qualifying matches have ended without a winner, and since USA’s recent form hasn’t been great, I am backing these sides to share the spoils in Inglewood.
BTTS Yes
Both Teams to Score
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Draw
Full-Time Result
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1-1 Draw
Correct Score
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