2023 US Open Tennis Tips & Streams (August 28-September 10)

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Last updated: 05 Mar 2024

Freetips staff 05 Mar 2024

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Carlos Alcaraz of Spain and Iga Swiatek of Poland have fun on Arthur Ashe Kids' Day at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center on August 26, 2023 in New York City. (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

The US Open starts Monday and here we break down the favourite, challenger and dark horse in each quarter.

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Quarter 1
Quarter 2
Quarter 3
Quarter 4

Quarter 1

The Favourite 👑

Carlos Alcaraz

The Good: World #1, most electric player in the world and has a ridiculous 53-6 record this year.

The Bad: Carlos has lost at least 1 set in all of his last 7 matches, not his usual dominate self, but he is finding a way to win ugly. Also has a very very tough draw with Jannik Sinner waiting in the QFs and Medvedev in the semis.

The Challenger ⚔️

Jannik Sinner

The Good: In great form, having won his first masters 1000 event in Toronto in dominate fashion and has the talent to beat anyone in the world, including Carlos (he has done it 3 times).

The Bad: Seems to struggle physically when has a lot of time on court for over a week. Made deep runs in Miami, Indian Wells but his body let him down physically in both finals, and he looked sluggish and lost cheaply in his first match post Toronto. Will be crucial for Sinner to win his early round matches in straight sets to save his body for the QFs and beyond.

The Dark Horse 🐎

Alexander Zverev

The Good: Winner of 10 of his last 12 including a semi-final run in Cincinnati where he won 49% of the points against eventually champion Novak Djokovic.

The Bad: Zverev’s second serve is a mess, the German #1 has no confidence in it and seems to just push it in and instantly fall behind in rallies. He is talented enough to get out of it trouble vs. lesser opponents but elite players punish him when his 1st serve % falls.

Quarter 2

The Favourite 👑

Daniil Medvedev

The Good: Daniil is a hard court specialist, who had great success earlier this year at Miami (champion) and Indian Wells (runner-up to Carlos).

The Bad: Did not look great in the warm up events to the US Open, suffering loses to Alex De Minaur and Alexander Zverev.

The Challenger ⚔️

Andrey Rublev

The Good: The world #8 has made massive strides this year and had multiple big wins across all surfaces. His recent success on grass should translate nicely to the quick US Open courts.

The Bad: Andrey’s curious decision to play a pair of smaller clay court events in Europe following Wimbledon could prove detrimental to US Open success. The rust was evident as he was beaten in the first round of his two hard court warm up events by much lower ranked opponents. Leaving him with very little match time on the surface before his round 1 matchup.

The Dark Horse 🐎

Hubert Hurkacz

The Good: The big serving Pole is playing the best tennis of his life and nearly took out Alcaraz in Toronto and Cincinnati. I am talking heroic efforts were made by Alcaraz to avoid Hurk taking the W. Also had big wins over Tsisipas and Coric during his Cincy run.

The Bad: Hubert struggles on return and can allow subpar servers to hold with ease. He will likely play a lot of tie breaks this week and if the weather gets cold (which slows down the balls) he could be on upset alert vs. a stellar returner.

Quarter 3

The Favourite 👑

Casper Ruud

The Good: The world #5 was a finalist in the US open last year and also made his 2nd French Open finals this year. He has somehow done this without ever beating Alcaraz, Novak or Medvedev. He has a magic ability to avoid top players and get lucky draws, that being said you can only beat who they put in front of you.

The Bad: The best opponent he has beat this year off of clay (his favourite surface) is world #35 Jiri Lehecka. In fact he is a very bad 7-9 off of clay in 2023 with zero top 30 wins.

The Challenger ⚔️

Holger Rune

The Good: The 20 year old is desperate to join Sinner and Alcaraz as the future faces of tennis and he might have a case for it. The young Danish player has racked up 37 wins against just 15 loses and has impressed on the big stage vs. top players multiple times. He has game to make a QF run here.

The Bad: The biggest question for Holger is health at the moment. He recently shared that he picked up a nasty back injury a few weeks ago and has been playing well below his desired level. He retired from his last match two weeks and has been rehabbing since to get ready for the Open.

The Dark Horse 🐎

Tommy Paul

The Good: The talented young American is looking to break into the top 10 with a deep run at the US Open. He seems to be in great form with his only loses post Wimbledon being to Sinner and Alcaraz, he also beat Alcaraz in a 3 set thriller in Toronto. His consistency and rally tolerance as of late will make a nightmare for any out-of-form opponent.

The Bad: The big question with Tommy is how far can his serve take him? He has the ground strokes and return game to be elite but he doesn’t generate many free points or easy holds with his relatively average serve.

Quarter 4

The Favourite 👑

Novak Djokovic

The Good: The G.O.A.T comes into New York off a title in the only warm up event he played and has arguably the easiest quarter of anyone. He should be able to keep his time on court down and roll through his first 4 to 5 matches in straight sets.

The Bad: He has won 18 out of his last 19 matches, with the only loss being a 5 set epic to Carlos at Wimbledon. So I guess a potential Carlos final?

The Challenger ⚔️

Stefanos Tsisipas

The Good: The big serving Greek got a hard court tournament win down in Mexico before Toronto and Cincinnati (the two popular warm up events) got underway. His serve + forehand combo is deadly on fast courts, and he does have 2 career wins over Novak.

The Bad: Remember when I said he has 2 career wins over Novak? I left out that Novak has 13 career wins over Stef including 10 in a row. Stefanos also has never made it past the third round at the US Open, making it his least successful Major.

The Dark Horse 🐎

Taylor Fritz

The Good: He started off his US Open prep by winning 7 straight matches and a title (vs. weak fields) in Atlanta and Washington. He also had two respectable losses in Toronto and Cincinnati falling to Novak and De Minaur who was in great form.

The Bad: The #1 ranked American might have some demons to overcome after an embarrassing first round loss last year to an unknown wild card. Assuming Fritz can get passed the mental hurdle I expect him to beat Tsisipas and face Novak in the quarterfinals.